Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 2.305293 2.630197 2.984629 3.400019 3.873610 4.396864 5.019067
2025-08-31 1.809700 2.252334 2.778359 3.449809 4.284711 5.289597 6.592503
2025-09-07 1.508765 1.993340 2.604078 3.430821 4.522062 5.915204 7.832596
2025-09-14 1.282951 1.779976 2.437311 3.371048 4.665391 6.399721 8.906684
2025-09-21 1.122110 1.624295 2.316784 3.342473 4.826074 6.899315 10.026779
2025-09-28 0.987844 1.485251 2.197263 3.292113 4.937256 7.324440 11.065895
2025-10-05 0.952490 1.482892 2.268641 3.519191 5.465290 8.388659 13.134671
2025-10-12 0.873503 1.404344 2.216029 3.549560 5.693006 9.017421 14.593009
2025-10-19 0.827041 1.370298 2.225964 3.674256 6.073845 9.908813 16.540139
2025-10-26 0.755847 1.288258 2.150515 3.651387 6.209992 10.415993 17.900859
2025-11-02 0.695022 1.216793 2.084429 3.635323 6.351720 10.938232 19.326095
2025-11-09 0.633258 1.137317 1.996828 3.572551 6.404468 11.309475 20.516191
2025-11-16 0.593348 1.096368 1.978450 3.641790 6.718285 12.200529 22.793735
2025-11-23 0.553151 1.051532 1.950260 3.693422 7.011491 13.094668 25.195408
2025-11-30 0.507710 0.991600 1.887735 3.673164 7.165976 13.745350 27.200694
2025-12-07 0.461939 0.925885 1.807282 3.609140 7.227828 14.223744 28.916388
2025-12-14 0.425287 0.873980 1.747623 3.578535 7.349869 14.826016 30.935483
2025-12-21 0.389968 0.820930 1.680183 3.524596 7.417703 15.324259 32.788702
2025-12-28 0.388585 0.837603 1.753957 3.767811 8.121918 17.177666 37.674335
2026-01-04 0.366391 0.807884 1.729235 3.800339 8.382641 18.133132 40.725191
2026-01-11 0.355146 0.800596 1.750665 3.933899 8.874108 19.622962 45.104001
2026-01-18 0.331257 0.762836 1.702854 3.909405 9.011887 20.355102 47.845228
2026-01-25 0.310038 0.728963 1.660282 3.892199 9.163691 21.130957 50.764845